IMHE OpenIR  > 山地灾害与地表过程重点实验室
泥石流防治工程可靠性的超越概率
Alternative TitleExceedance probability analysis on reliability of debris flows control projects
乔建平1,2; 杨宗佶1,2; 陈权亮4; 张志明3; 石莉莉4
Corresponding Author乔建平
2014
Source Publication中国地质灾害与防治学报
ISSN1003-8035
Volume25Issue:02Pages:1-6
Other Abstract根据降雨频率重现期统计结果,汶川地震灾区近年来毁坏或失效的泥石流防治工程大多与设计标准降雨频率关系不明显,但与大暴雨和特大暴雨雨强关系密切。所以,在泥石流防治工程可靠性评价方法中,可以引入超越概率的概念,亦即发生超出设计标准降雨频率的工程毁坏或失效概率。本文采用数理统计方法,以震区都江堰泥石流工程为例,讨论了泥石流防治工程的超越概率问题。建立了以雨强为标准的超越概率统计模型。;

According to the statistics results of the rainfall return period,in recent years after Wenchuan earthquake, the has great correlation with the rainfall intensity of big storms and super storms hitting instead of rainfall of design criteria of debris flow control projects. therefore,the method of exceedance probability analysis,in other word,the probability beyond the rainfall frequency of design criteria of the debris flow control projects failure,was proposed on the assessment of reliability of debris flows control projects. the model based on the rainfall frequency statistics was established grounding on the method of mathematical statistics and taking for example of debris flow control projects in Dujiangyan County, Chengdu City.

Keyword泥石流 工程 超越概率 都江堰
Indexed ByCSCD
Language中文
CSCD IDCSCD:5174799
Funding Organization国家科技支撑计划课题(2011BAK12B01) ; 科技部国际合作项目(2013DFA21720) ; 973项目(2010CB731504)
Citation statistics
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.imde.ac.cn/handle/131551/10017
Collection山地灾害与地表过程重点实验室
Affiliation1.中国科学院地表过程与山地灾害重点实验室
2.中国科学院成都山地灾害与环境研究所
3.成都信息工程学院
4.成都地质环境监测站
First Author Affilication中国科学院水利部成都山地灾害与环境研究所
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
乔建平,杨宗佶,陈权亮,等. 泥石流防治工程可靠性的超越概率[J]. 中国地质灾害与防治学报,2014,25(02):1-6.
APA 乔建平,杨宗佶,陈权亮,张志明,&石莉莉.(2014).泥石流防治工程可靠性的超越概率.中国地质灾害与防治学报,25(02),1-6.
MLA 乔建平,et al."泥石流防治工程可靠性的超越概率".中国地质灾害与防治学报 25.02(2014):1-6.
Files in This Item:
File Name/Size DocType Version Access License
泥石流防治工程可靠性的超越概率_乔建平.(577KB)期刊论文出版稿开放获取CC BY-NC-NDView Application Full Text
Related Services
Recommend this item
Bookmark
Usage statistics
Export to Endnote
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[乔建平]'s Articles
[杨宗佶]'s Articles
[陈权亮]'s Articles
Baidu academic
Similar articles in Baidu academic
[乔建平]'s Articles
[杨宗佶]'s Articles
[陈权亮]'s Articles
Bing Scholar
Similar articles in Bing Scholar
[乔建平]'s Articles
[杨宗佶]'s Articles
[陈权亮]'s Articles
Terms of Use
No data!
Social Bookmark/Share
File name: 泥石流防治工程可靠性的超越概率_乔建平.pdf
Format: Adobe PDF
All comments (0)
No comment.
 

Items in the repository are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.