IMHE OpenIR  > Journal of Mountain Science  > Journal of Mountain Science-2017  > Vol14 No.3
Predicting the impact of climate change on the distribution of two threatened Himalayan medicinal plants of Liliaceae in Nepal
RANA Santosh Kumar; RANA Hum Kala; GHIMIRE Suresh Kumar; SHRESTHA Krishna Kumar; RANJITKAR Sailesh
Corresponding AuthorRANA Santosh Kumar
2017-03
Source PublicationJournal of Mountain Science
ISSN1672-6316
Volume14Issue:3Pages:558-570
Subtype期刊论文
AbstractPredicting the potential distribution of medicinal plants in response to climate change is essential for their conservation and management. Contributing to the management program, this study aimed to predict the distribution of two threatened medicinal plants, Fritillaria cirrhosa and Lilium nepalense. The location of focal species gathered from herbarium specimen housed in different herbaria and online databases were geo-referenced and checked for spatial autocorrelation. The predictive environmental variables were selected, and MaxEnt software was used to model the current and future distributions of focal species. Four Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) trajectories of the BCC-CSM1.1 model were used as the future (2050) projection layer. The MaxEnt modelling delineated the potential distribution of F. cirrhosa and L. nepalense. The current suitability is projected towards Central and Eastern Hilly/Mountainous regions. Both species gain maximum suitability in RCP 4.5 which decline towards other trajectories for L. nepalense. Overall, both the focal species shift towards the north-west, losing their potential habitat in hilly and lower mountainous regions by 2050 across all trajectories. Our results highlight the impact of future climate change on two threatened and valuable species. The results can be further useful to initiate farming of these medicinally and economically important species based on climatically suitable zone and for designing a germplasm conservation strategy.
KeywordCommercial Exploitation Conservation Lily Fritillaria Cirrhosa Lilium Nepalense Maxent Modelling Species Distribution
DOI10.1007/s11629-015-3822-1
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
Citation statistics
Cited Times:22[WOS]   [WOS Record]     [Related Records in WOS]
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.imde.ac.cn/handle/131551/18442
CollectionJournal of Mountain Science_Journal of Mountain Science-2017_Vol14 No.3
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
RANA Santosh Kumar,RANA Hum Kala,GHIMIRE Suresh Kumar,et al. Predicting the impact of climate change on the distribution of two threatened Himalayan medicinal plants of Liliaceae in Nepal[J]. Journal of Mountain Science,2017,14(3):558-570.
APA RANA Santosh Kumar,RANA Hum Kala,GHIMIRE Suresh Kumar,SHRESTHA Krishna Kumar,&RANJITKAR Sailesh.(2017).Predicting the impact of climate change on the distribution of two threatened Himalayan medicinal plants of Liliaceae in Nepal.Journal of Mountain Science,14(3),558-570.
MLA RANA Santosh Kumar,et al."Predicting the impact of climate change on the distribution of two threatened Himalayan medicinal plants of Liliaceae in Nepal".Journal of Mountain Science 14.3(2017):558-570.
Files in This Item:
File Name/Size DocType Version Access License
12.pdf(2218KB)期刊论文作者接受稿开放获取CC BY-NC-SAView Application Full Text
Related Services
Recommend this item
Bookmark
Usage statistics
Export to Endnote
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[RANA Santosh Kumar]'s Articles
[RANA Hum Kala]'s Articles
[GHIMIRE Suresh Kumar]'s Articles
Baidu academic
Similar articles in Baidu academic
[RANA Santosh Kumar]'s Articles
[RANA Hum Kala]'s Articles
[GHIMIRE Suresh Kumar]'s Articles
Bing Scholar
Similar articles in Bing Scholar
[RANA Santosh Kumar]'s Articles
[RANA Hum Kala]'s Articles
[GHIMIRE Suresh Kumar]'s Articles
Terms of Use
No data!
Social Bookmark/Share
File name: 12.pdf
Format: Adobe PDF
All comments (0)
No comment.
 

Items in the repository are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.