IMHE OpenIR  > Journal of Mountain Science  > Journal of Mountain Science-2017  > Vol14 No.6
A dynamic model for exploring water-resource management scenarios in an inland arid area: Shanshan County, Northwestern China
CHEN Chao; AHMAD Sajjad; KALRA Ajay; XU Zhi-xia
Corresponding AuthorAHMAD Sajjad
2017-06
Source PublicationJournal of Mountain Science
ISSN1672-6316
Volume14Issue:6Pages:1039-1057
Subtype期刊论文
AbstractWater scarcity is a challenge in many arid and semi-arid regions; this may lead to a series of environmental problemsand could be stressed even further by the effects from climate change. This study focused on the water resource management in Shanshan County, an inland arid region located in northwestern China with a long history of groundwater overexploitation. A model of the supply and demand system in the study area from 2006 to 2030, including effects from global climate change, was developed using a system dynamics (SD) modeling tool. This SD model was used to 1) explore the best water-resource management options by testing system responses under various scenarios and 2) identify the principal factors affecting the responses, aiming for a balance of the groundwater system and sustainable socio-economic development. Three causes were identified as primarily responsible for water issues in Shanshan: low water-use efficiency, low water reuse, and increase in industrial water demand. To address these causes, a combined scenario was designed and simulated, which was able to keep the water deficiency under 5% by 2030. The model provided some insights into the dynamic inter-relations that generate system behavior and the key factors in the system that govern water demand and supply. The model as well as the study results may be useful in water resources management in Shanshan and may be applied, with appropriate modifications, to other regions facing similar water management challenges.
KeywordSystem Dynamics Water Resources Management Northwestern China Water Scarcity
DOI10.1007/s11629-016-4210-1
Indexed BySCI
Language英语
Citation statistics
Cited Times:31[WOS]   [WOS Record]     [Related Records in WOS]
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.imde.ac.cn/handle/131551/18725
CollectionJournal of Mountain Science_Journal of Mountain Science-2017_Vol14 No.6
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
CHEN Chao,AHMAD Sajjad,KALRA Ajay,et al. A dynamic model for exploring water-resource management scenarios in an inland arid area: Shanshan County, Northwestern China[J]. Journal of Mountain Science,2017,14(6):1039-1057.
APA CHEN Chao,AHMAD Sajjad,KALRA Ajay,&XU Zhi-xia.(2017).A dynamic model for exploring water-resource management scenarios in an inland arid area: Shanshan County, Northwestern China.Journal of Mountain Science,14(6),1039-1057.
MLA CHEN Chao,et al."A dynamic model for exploring water-resource management scenarios in an inland arid area: Shanshan County, Northwestern China".Journal of Mountain Science 14.6(2017):1039-1057.
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