KMS Institute of Mountain Hazards and Environment,CAS
Long-term variability of air temperature and precipitation conditions in the Polish Carpathians | |
Alternative Title | Long-term variability of air temperature and precipitation conditions in the Polish Carpathians |
Agnieszka WYPYCH; Zbigniew USTRNUL; Dirk R. SCHMATZ | |
Corresponding Author | Agnieszka WYPYCH |
2018-02 | |
Source Publication | Journal of Mountain Science
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ISSN | 1672-6316 |
Volume | 15Issue:2Pages:237-253 |
Subtype | 期刊论文 |
Abstract | Mountain regions are sensitive to climate changes, which make them good indicators of climate change. The aim of this study is to investigate the spatial and temporal variability of air temperature and precipitation in the Polish Carpathians. This study consists of climatological analyses for the historical period 1851-2010 and future projections for 2021-2100. The results confirm that there has been significant warming of the area and that this warming has been particularly pronounced over the last few decades and will continue in the oncoming years. Climate change is most evident in the foothills; however, these are the highest summits which have experienced the most intensive increases in temperature during the recent period. Precipitation does not demonstrate any substantial trend and has high year-to-year variability. The distribution of the annual temperature contour lines modelled for selected periods provides evidence of the upward shift of vertical climate zones in the Polish Carpathians, which reach approximately 350 meters, on average, what indicates further ecological consequences as ecosystems expand or become extinct and when there are changes in the hydrological cycle. |
Other Abstract | Mountain regions are sensitive to climate changes, which make them good indicators of climate change. The aim of this study is to investigate the spatial and temporal variability of air temperature and precipitation in the Polish Carpathians. This study consists of climatological analyses for the historical period 1851-2010 and future projections for 2021-2100. The results confirm that there has been significant warming of the area and that this warming has been particularly pronounced over the last few decades and will continue in the oncoming years. Climate change is most evident in the foothills; however, these are the highest summits which have experienced the most intensive increases in temperature during the recent period. Precipitation does not demonstrate any substantial trend and has high year-to-year variability. The distribution of the annual temperature contour lines modelled for selected periods provides evidence of the upward shift of vertical climate zones in the Polish Carpathians, which reach approximately 350 meters, on average, what indicates further ecological consequences as ecosystems expand or become extinct and when there are changes in the hydrological cycle. |
Keyword | Climate Change Air Temperature Precipitation Polish Carpathians |
DOI | 10.1007/s11629-017-4374-3 |
Indexed By | SCI |
Language | 英语 |
CSCD ID | CSCD:6178785 |
Citation statistics | |
Document Type | 期刊论文 |
Identifier | http://ir.imde.ac.cn/handle/131551/20842 |
Collection | Journal of Mountain Science_Journal of Mountain Science-2018_Vol15 No.2 |
Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Agnieszka WYPYCH,Zbigniew USTRNUL,Dirk R. SCHMATZ. Long-term variability of air temperature and precipitation conditions in the Polish Carpathians[J]. Journal of Mountain Science,2018,15(2):237-253. |
APA | Agnieszka WYPYCH,Zbigniew USTRNUL,&Dirk R. SCHMATZ.(2018).Long-term variability of air temperature and precipitation conditions in the Polish Carpathians.Journal of Mountain Science,15(2),237-253. |
MLA | Agnieszka WYPYCH,et al."Long-term variability of air temperature and precipitation conditions in the Polish Carpathians".Journal of Mountain Science 15.2(2018):237-253. |
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2.pdf(6486KB) | 期刊论文 | 作者接受稿 | 开放获取 | CC BY-NC-SA | View Application Full Text |
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