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基于系统动力学的中国西南岩溶区的水资源承载力以贵州省毕节地区为例
Alternative TitleApplication of System Dynamics in Analyzing the Carrying Capacity of Water Resources in Karst Region of Southwest ChinaA Case Study in Bijie Region,Guizhou Province
何仁伟1,2,3; 刘邵权1; 刘运伟1,2,3
2011
Source Publication地理科学
ISSN1000-0690
Volume7Issue:3Pages:1376-1382
SubtypeArticle
Contribution Rank1
Abstract对中国西南岩溶区水资源-生态环境-社会经济反馈关系进行分析,选取贵州省毕节地区做为研究对象,建立毕节地区水资源承载力系统动力学模型;通过动态模拟和综合调试,生成5种有效方案:传统发展型方案(方案1)、节水发展型方案(方案2)、开源与环保发展型方案(方案3)、GDP快速增长型方案(方案4)和协调发展型方案(方案5)。综合分析得出方案5是调控优化方案。对方案5对应的SD模型发展趋势做分析,为毕节地区及西南岩溶区水资源可持续利用提供决策依据。
Other AbstractBased on analysis of the basic feedback structure of water resources-ecological environment-social economy system in Karst Region of Southwest China,taking Bijie region,Guizhou Province as the research area,this paper set up a System Dynamic(SD) model of Bijie region through dynamic simulation and synthetical adjustment.Five available schemes were chosen from various experimental schemes.They are traditional development scheme(Scheme 1),water-saving development scheme(Scheme 2),broaden sources of water resources and environmental protection scheme(Scheme 3),fast economic development-oriented scheme(Scheme 4) and coordinated development-oriented scheme(Scheme 5).Comprehensive evaluation indicates that Scheme 5 is the optimal one,which takes social economic development,ecological environment protection,water-saving and water resources development into account,and brings obvious social economic ecological and water-saving benefits.Therefore,this paper analyzed the corresponding SD model of Scheme 5 and the development trend of Bijie region in the next 12 years,and came to the conclusions that the application of Scheme 5 can effectively promote the coordinated development of water resources,ecological environment and social economy in Bijie region,and improve the carrying capacity of water resources in this area.
Keyword西南岩溶区 毕节地区 系统动力学 水资源承载力
DOI10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2011.11.006
Indexed ByCSCD
Language中文
CSCD IDCSCD:4388214
Citation statistics
Cited Times:13[CSCD]   [CSCD Record]
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.imde.ac.cn/handle/131551/25980
Collection山区发展研究中心
Corresponding Author刘邵权
Affiliation1.中国科学院成都山地灾害与环境研究所;
2.西昌学院农业科学院;
3.中国科学院研究生院
First Author Affilication中国科学院水利部成都山地灾害与环境研究所
Corresponding Author Affilication中国科学院水利部成都山地灾害与环境研究所
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
何仁伟,刘邵权,刘运伟. 基于系统动力学的中国西南岩溶区的水资源承载力以贵州省毕节地区为例[J]. 地理科学,2011,7(3):1376-1382.
APA 何仁伟,刘邵权,&刘运伟.(2011).基于系统动力学的中国西南岩溶区的水资源承载力以贵州省毕节地区为例.地理科学,7(3),1376-1382.
MLA 何仁伟,et al."基于系统动力学的中国西南岩溶区的水资源承载力以贵州省毕节地区为例".地理科学 7.3(2011):1376-1382.
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