| How to Integrate Labor Disruption into an Economic Impact Evaluation Model for Postdisaster Recovery Periods | |
Zhang, Zhengtao1,2; Li, Ning1,3,4,5; Cui, Peng2,6 ; Xu, Hong3; Liu, Yuan1,4,5; Chen, Xi1,4,5; Feng, Jieling1,4,5
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| Corresponding Author | Li, Ning(ningli@bnu.edu.cn) |
| 2019-06-28 | |
| Source Publication | RISK ANALYSIS
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| ISSN | 0272-4332 |
| Pages | 14 |
| Abstract | Evaluating the economic impacts caused by capital destruction is an effective method for disaster management and prevention, but the magnitude of the economic impact of labor disruption on an economic system remains unclear. This article emphasizes the importance of considering labor disruption when evaluating the economic impact of natural disasters. Based on the principle of disasters and resilience theory, our model integrates nonlinear recovery of labor losses and the demand of labor from outside the disaster area into the dynamic evaluation of the economic impact in the postdisaster recovery period. We exemplify this through a case study: the flood disaster that occurred in Wuhan city, China, on July 6, 2016 (the "7.6 Wuhan flood disaster"). The results indicate that (i) the indirect economic impacts of the "7.6 Wuhan flood disaster" will underestimate 15.12% if we do not consider labor disruption; (ii) the economic impact in secondary industry caused by insufficient labor forces accounts for 42.27% of its total impact, while that in the tertiary industry is 36.29%, which can cause enormous losses if both industries suffer shocks; and (iii) the agricultural sector of Wuhan city experiences an increase in output demand of 0.07% that is created by the introduction of 50,000 short-term laborers from outside the disaster area to meet the postdisaster reconstruction need. These results provide evidence for the important role of labor disruption and prove that it is a nonnegligible component of postdisaster economic recovery and postdisaster reduction. |
| Keyword | Affected people economic impact flood labor natural disaster risk assessment |
| DOI | 10.1111/risa.13365 |
| Indexed By | SCI |
| WOS Keyword | OUTPUT ; FLOOD ; RESILIENCE ; FRAMEWORK |
| Language | 英语 |
| Funding Project | National Key Research and Development Program of China[2016YFA0602403] ; International partnership program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences[131551KYSB20160002] ; Beijing Municipal Natural Science Foundation[9172010] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41775103] ; National Natural Science Foundation of China[41505134] |
| WOS Research Area | Public, Environmental & Occupational Health ; Mathematics ; Mathematical Methods In Social Sciences |
| WOS Subject | Public, Environmental & Occupational Health ; Mathematics, Interdisciplinary Applications ; Social Sciences, Mathematical Methods |
| WOS ID | WOS:000473960700001 |
| Funding Organization | National Key Research and Development Program of China ; International partnership program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences ; Beijing Municipal Natural Science Foundation ; National Natural Science Foundation of China |
| Publisher | WILEY |
| Citation statistics | |
| Document Type | 期刊论文 |
| Identifier | http://ir.imde.ac.cn/handle/131551/26501 |
| Collection | 山地灾害与地表过程重点实验室 |
| Corresponding Author | Li, Ning |
| Affiliation | 1.Beijing Normal Univ, MOE, Key Lab Environm Change & Nat Disaster, Beijing, Peoples R China 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geog Sci & Nat Resources Res, Key Lab Land Surface Pattern & Simulat, Beijing, Peoples R China 3.Beijing Normal Univ, Fac Geog Sci, State Key Lab Earth Surface Proc & Resource Ecol, Beijing, Peoples R China 4.Beijing Normal Univ, Acad Disaster Reduct & Emergency Management, Minist Emergency Management, Fac Geog Sci, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China 5.Beijing Normal Univ, Fac Geog Sci, Minist Educ, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China 6.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Mt Hazards & Environm, Key Lab Mt Hazards & Surface Proc, Chengdu, Sichuan, Peoples R China |
| First Author Affilication | 中国科学院水利部成都山地灾害与环境研究所 |
| Corresponding Author Affilication | 中国科学院水利部成都山地灾害与环境研究所 |
| Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Zhang, Zhengtao,Li, Ning,Cui, Peng,et al. How to Integrate Labor Disruption into an Economic Impact Evaluation Model for Postdisaster Recovery Periods[J]. RISK ANALYSIS,2019:14. |
| APA | Zhang, Zhengtao.,Li, Ning.,Cui, Peng.,Xu, Hong.,Liu, Yuan.,...&Feng, Jieling.(2019).How to Integrate Labor Disruption into an Economic Impact Evaluation Model for Postdisaster Recovery Periods.RISK ANALYSIS,14. |
| MLA | Zhang, Zhengtao,et al."How to Integrate Labor Disruption into an Economic Impact Evaluation Model for Postdisaster Recovery Periods".RISK ANALYSIS (2019):14. |
| Files in This Item: | ||||||
| File Name/Size | DocType | Version | Access | License | ||
| risa.13365.pdf（964KB） | 期刊论文 | 出版稿 | 开放获取 | CC BY-NC-SA | View Application Full Text | |
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